2026.04.10 22:23:07 (Mastodon 116382747015595667, Twitter 2042730128069787659) from Daniel J. Bernstein:
My 2023 slides for the Federal Reserve TechLab estimated 50% chance by 2029 of secret quantum computer breaking RSA-2048, estimated 50% chance by 2032 of public quantum computer breaking RSA-2048, noted common mistake of ignoring advances in algorithms: https://cr.yp.to/talks/2023.06.15/slides-djb-20230615-pqrisk-4x3.pdf#page.10